January 23, 2025

A closer look into the end of moores law

 In addition to the previous post, I've improved the table with the gflops performance of Lenovo Thinkpad models from the past. The moving average over an increase for 5 years was determined which shows that the processing speed is growing with 15% anually. This is much lower than the expected Moores law which assumes, that the performance is growing by 59% anually.

The slow growth of 15% is different from the much higher improvement during the 1980s and 1990s which was working with the expected 59% annual increase in processing speed. It seems that some sort of plateau was reached after the year 2010. From this year, the processing speed measured in gflops stays constant on a high level. Its unlikely, that the former Moores law with its exponential improvements will come back in the near future.

 


 

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